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Race Could Cost Obama 6 Percent of November Vote
By Yoji Cole
September 23, 2008
Keywords: racial, race,
discrimination, race relations, Barack Obama, John McCain, Black president,
first Black president
Charles Crozier, 73, of Marietta, Ga., describes himself as a
"quasi-independent" Democrat who has yet to decide if he'll vote for Sen. Barack
Obama or Sen. John McCain.
He told The Associated Press that he
likes McCain's platform on energy but he prefers Obama on economics.
Crozier is white and says Obama's
race does not factor in his decision. But he is aware that many white voters may
harbor prejudices or believe lies about Obama--for example, that he is a
Muslim--that will keep them from voting for the Democratic candidate.
"I'm old enough to know a lie
repeated often enough becomes the truth," Crozier told The Associated Press.
"You can't change their minds."
Views about race in this election
are the subject of a new poll conducted by The Associated Press and Yahoo. The
study reveals that, although the nation has come a long way since race relations
meant legal segregation, the country remains segregated in terms of Black and
white opinions on race.
The poll shows that a substantial
portion of white Americans still harbor negative feelings toward Blacks, that
Blacks and whites disagree tremendously on how much racial prejudice exists and
how much influence Blacks have in politics.
The poll reveals some positive
aspects of racial relations, but also indicates the struggle Obama faces when
trying to inspire white Americans to elect him.
More white Americans indicated that
they think positively about Black Americans than they have in the past and Black
Americans are also more positive in their descriptions of white Americans, a
fact that may explain why more whites think Blacks deal with little
discrimination.
When asked "How much discrimination
against Blacks" exists, 10 percent of whites said "a lot" and 45 percent said
"some." Among Blacks, 57 percent said "a lot."
When asked "How much of America's
existing racial tension is created by Blacks," more than 33 percent of whites
said "most" or "all" while just 9 percent said "not much." Only 3 percent of
Blacks said "most" or "all" and half said "not much."
The poll revealed that 20 percent of
whites admire Blacks "very much" or "extremely." But more Blacks admire
whites--70 percent.
The numbers should concern Obama's
campaign, even though he's enjoyed great support from white voters--most notably
those in Iowa,
whose support in the Democratic caucus showed he resonates among whites.
While 25 percent of white Democrats
verbalized to at least two negative attributes about Blacks, 66 percent could
see the difference between those attributes and Obama and said they would vote
for him for president.
Obama's white support has been
greater among younger voters, but the survey suggests that his support might be
weaker than expected. The survey found no meaningful difference between age
groups in whites' perceptions of Blacks, although older whites appeared more
likely to discuss their views.
And since the Republican National
Convention, at which Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin was introduced as McCain's
vice-presidential running mate, polls consistently show Obama running about even
with McCain, or leading by a notably smaller margin than the one Democrats enjoy
over Republicans generally.
That fact suggests that many white
voters like Crozier, who claim to be on the fence, may ultimately choose McCain
over Obama.
Racial prejudice could cost Obama up
to 6 percentage points this fall, the survey reports. And six percent is a huge
margin considering how close recent presidential elections have been.
"The prior forms of racism, with
hindsight, were relatively easy to deal with," Kenneth O'Reilly told The
Associated Press.
O'Reilly has written books on racial
politics and now teaches history at Milwaukee Area Technical College. He cited
slavery, lynchings and legal and de facto segregation as prior forms of
racism.
"If you ask 100 people what is the
main color-line problem today, you get 100 answers," he said.
"There's still a lot of estrangement
out there," between the races, said David Bositis, who writes about racial
matters at the Washington-based Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies.
"There's still an enormous amount of segregation."
Click here to read the full story in Yahoo! News.
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