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Obama the Rock Star—Can Hillary Compete?
By Jennifer Millman
January 17, 2007
Now that Sen. Barack Obama has
announced his intentions to create a presidential exploratory committee, which
Sen. Hillary Clinton is shortly expected to do, the battle of the "firsts" is
on.
He's a rock star; she's arguably
the most influential first lady since Eleanor Roosevelt. He's a first-term
senator; she spent eight years in the White House. He always opposed the
Iraq war; she changed her mind after
initially approving it. He's a black man; she's a white woman—but that seems to
matter less than what they're saying, and even more importantly, how the public
perceives them.
As one blogger writes, "Race is
not the issue with Obama. Colin Powell would make an excellent presidential
candidate because of his enormous amount of executive experience, and if he were
running against Obama he would win in a landslide."
Indeed. Obama's relative
inexperience has rekindled the debate about "qualified versus capable",
which traditionally has been used to exclude anyone other than white men from
high-level positions in government and in corporate
America. For more on this issue, read the upcoming
April 2007 issue of DiversityInc
magazine.
As one Obama critic writes, "You
say you will vote for Obama because he is 'capable to lead us in the time of
trouble.' My question is simply this, how do you know? Where is there any evidence
that he is capable? This man has just two years of experience in national
politics. I urge anyone to tell me—what has he ever done to make you think he
can lead?"
What Is
'Experience?'
Where does one draw the line?
People doubt Obama's leadership capacity as a first-term senator, but would it
make a difference if this were his second term? What about if he had never been
elected at all? According to Democratic pollster Mark Mellman, neither Obama's
inexperience nor admitted drug use, which some have said may negatively impact
his chances, will make a difference.
"People want something new and
different, and there is nobody in this contest who can better lay claim to being
new and different than Barack Obama," he told the Los Angeles
Times.
As a public desperate for respite
from electoral frustration seeks to divorce itself from a legacy of divisive
politics, Obama's "inexperience" may be his greatest asset. His announcement
yesterday, for example, includes no mention of the word "Republican," nor
mention of the word "Democrat," which exempts him from the partisan techniques
candidates traditionally have used to differentiate themselves from their
competitors. Obama, on the other hand, isn't trying to separate himself from
anyone—quite the opposite, in fact.
As one insightful blogger puts it,
"Obama isn't running against Republicans; he's running against partisanship
itself."
On his web site, Obama calls
attention to national concerns such as rising healthcare costs, economic
instability, oil dependence and national security.
"America's faced big
problems before," he notes. "But ... politics has become so bitter and partisan,
so gummed up by money and influence, that we can't tackle the big problems that
demand solutions. And that's what we have to
change first."
Is the public ready
for the kind of change Obama's talking about? Neither Obama nor Clinton has
clinched the nomination by any means, although Clinton maintains a steady
lead in the polls.
USAToday/Gallup's latest national poll of 518 Democrats shows
Clinton ahead 29 percent, followed by
Obama (18 percent) and Edwards (13 percent) for the democratic presidential
nomination.
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What Does It All
Mean?
If Clinton shortly announces her
intent to form a presidential exploratory committee as expected, it would make
raising the funds necessary to support a presidential campaign all the more
difficult and the race all the more competitive. Obama's been scooping up major
donors in California, a state Clinton may have been counting on, but the New
York senator has a head start, thanks in part to her husband's fundraising
network. Clinton already has amassed $14.4 million
in campaign dollars to Obama's $756,000.
Clinton appeared on NBC's "Today Show"
this morning after returning from a recent visit to
Afghanistan and
Iraq. When asked by host Matt Lauer
whether she thought Obama was "qualified" to be president, she deferred to the
voters. Howard Wolfson, a senior Clinton adviser, also dodged the "Obama
question," telling the Los Angeles Times, "Sen. Clinton has a strong case to
make for her own candidacy, and is going to have to make the best case for
herself."
Some bloggers are making the case
for her. One writes, "Obama's road to the White House is through Hillary. I like
Obama. I want him to run. But Hillary had the advantage of being in the White
House for eight years and looking over her husband's shoulder—almost like an apprentice. If you
don't think Bill talked to his very smart wife about all the goings on and even
relied on her heavily to talk things out then you're just not thinking right.
That kind of experience you can't buy."
Ultimately, the public is
demanding accountability for change. The candidate who can deliver that to them
most effectively, or at least convince voters he or she will, will be likely to
get the votes.
Other candidates for the
Democratic nomination include North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, John Kerry's
vice-presidential running mate in the 2004 election;
Connecticut's Sen. Christopher Dodd;
Ohio's Rep. Dennis Kucinich; and
former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack.
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