Trump Claims Approval Among Black Americans Has Doubled — Obviously, This Is False

How an apples-to-oranges comparison turned a 20 percent decline into fake good news for the president.

ALAMY

President Donald Trump on Tuesday tweeted that his “approval ratings with Black Americans has doubled” — just days after calling Haiti and African nations “shithole countries.” Not shockingly, his claim is fake news spread by Breitbart and “Fox & Friends.”

The false reporting appears to have stemmed from a Breitbart’s writers misunderstanding of an analysis from The Atlantic. The Atlantic reviewed data that SurveyMonkey, which collected information by conducting 605,172 interviews with Americans over the course of 2017. According to The Atlantic, “black men are one of the few groups for which Trump’s 2017 average approval rating significantly exceeds his 2016 vote share.” In fact, Black men are far more likely to approve of Trump than Black women, 23-11.

While it’s interesting to note, nowhere does it say that approval ratings and exit polls are an apples-to-apples comparison. But this did not stop Breitbart from misrepresenting the data to paint Trump in a positive light among African Americans.

Breitbart averaged the 23 percent and 11 percent support among Black men and women to conclude that Black support for Trump has doubled.

“That score averages out to 17 percent, or twice the 8 percent score he was given in the 2016 exit polls,” according to Breitbart.

It is, of course, inaccurate to interpret numbers this way. For one, exit polls take into account registered voters. SurveyMonkey simply interviewed Americans, registered or not — a different sample of the population. And even if SurveyMonkey only spoke with people who voted, the number of Black people surveyed (about 19,000 men and 31,000 women, the New York Times reported after viewing the data) is significantly lower than the number of Black people who voted: roughly 16.4 million, according to Pew Research Center.

But Breitbart did not take any of this into account, even going so far as to suggest — without merit — that Black people lied in the SurveyMonkey survey: “It is not clear if additional blacks quizzed by SurveyMonkey hid their support for Trump, just as many middle-class whites hid their support for Trump during the 2016 election out of fear of punishment by pro-Democratic employers, peers, and activists.”

Regardless, Breitbart took its false interpretation and ran with it — as did “Fox & Friends.”

“Believe it or not, through all this negative coverage, they did a survey of 600,000 people about how Black America views this president. His numbers have actually doubled,” said host Brian Kilmeade on Tuesday.

The SurveyMonkey data did not survey “Black America.” If roughly 50,000 Black people were surveyed, this is only about 8 percent of the total 605,172 people who were interviewed — which is not even representative of the whole population.

And when taking exit polls out of the equation and just looking at approval ratings, Kilmeade is still off-base. Per the Times:

“SurveyMonkey’s results, provided to The New York Times, show that Mr. Trump’s approval ratings among black Americans actually declined from 20 percent in February 2017, his first full month in office, to 15 percent in December. (This is consistent with polling from the Pew Research Center and Reuters.)”

Gallup shows even lower ratings. In January 2017 Trump had a 15 percent approval rating among Black Americans. In December that fell to 6 percent.

Trump’s claim that unemployment among Black Americans is true — but is by no means a testament to him. That rate has been dropping steadily since 2011, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Read more news @ DiversityInc.com

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32 comments


    • If you watch FOX at all, you’ll see they live in an magical world where everyone believes that trump is 6’3” and weighs 239 pounds. And you can eat McDonalds and be in good health.

      Same magical thinking that allows you to not question ”good people on both sides” trump is going to be liked by more Black people than one year ago.

      • Charity Dell

        Maybe they live in:

        THE KINGDOM OF THE ALT-RIGHT GLACIER

        But glaciers tend to freeze bodies and brains.

  • Hmm, it is illegal to discriminate, Oh but not when either side wants a slanted poll!! How do they decide who to poll? Coloured folks? (NAACP) most of us are. Blacks but not brown, tan or yellow “Negros”. Or is anyone with 1/128th Negro ancestry labeled “Black”. Self identified? or do pollsters assume “color” but not race, or ask random people on street? “hey dude! do you call yourself “black” (regardless of color) & what do you think of Trump?” “Oh, you like him? You must not be black after all”

    • ANDREAS OST–No one knows how these polls are conducted, or if
      the pollsters even bothered to go into communities of color. People
      should know by now that the president is NOT admired and/or worshiped
      by most people of color in this country, including African-Americans.
      Most educated Euro-American females did not vote for the Dumpy Donmeister.
      In fact, the day after the 2016 election, millions of Americans of all ethnic
      groups marched in dissent, bearing signs and placards that clearly read:
      “NOT MY PRESIDENT.” These “pollsters” and think tanks need to get
      a clue–Trump is simply not seen as the friend of African-Americans,
      Latino-Americans or Native Americans by members of all these
      ethnic groups.

  • Well, let’s see, Trump had, conceivably, one Black supporter previously. If he now has two, it could — truthfully — be said that his approval rating among Black Americans has doubled! :-)

    • Oh, grannybunny, you took the thought right out of my head. I was going to write the same thing! 1 plus 1 more = doubled!!!

    • Lauri Sue Robertson

      LOL! I wrote mine a d then I saw yours. Great minds think alike!

    • GRANNYBUNNY–The Dumpy Trump does not like Poor White People, the ones he
      loves to whip up at all those “Worship My Great Whiteness” rallies he holds. Poor
      Euro-Americans are the BULK of poor people in this country, and they are dying
      FASTER than people of color; this is especially true among males, aged 45–54,
      in Appalachia and the Rust-Belt states. Yet, all these Alt-Right Lily-White cults
      cling to the belief that The Grand White Imperial Poobah will use a Magic White
      Wand to save them and Make America Whiter and Brighter. But you can’t use
      “whiteness” to buy groceries, pay bills or taxes, or educate yourself and your children.

  • I believe that black approval has doubled about as much as I believe tRump’s reported weight. Bull!

  • As official black spokeperson for every black person in America, I can state, unequivocally, we hate his fat, pasty, racist guts.

    We don’t vote for people who are openly racist, hate us, and stir up even more racism. We already had plenty.

    Of the three black people that did support him, one is, well, mentally ill as his online presence seems to indicate, one has never been heard from again, and the other one, we don’t know what happened to him. I’m talking about the one that sits behind trump at his rallies, trump’s African American, and Ben Carson. Pick which one is which.

    My black colleagues hate him. Black people on social media hate him. Black bloggers hate him. Black journalists hate him. Church going black folks hate him. Black people in other countries hate him. I hate him. Black people who have something to lose hate him. My black military brother hates him. Black acquaintances hate him. Black coworkers hate him. Black people harassed by cops hate him.

    Trump is desperate. So desperate with the lies and incompetence, his sycophants are trying to tell us, as though we can’t for ourselves, what we think and feel.

    Unbelievable. Like that doctor’s note, signed with a misspelled name, as Dr. Instead of MD with the usual superlative, bloated bullshit trumpian hyperbole. A fat bloated, so out of shape he needs a golf cart to get around, all night Tweeting, big MAC, eating 70 year is in better and more fantastic health than anyone if the history of mankind because of his vastly superior genes. No. doctor. talks. like. that.

    GTFOOH.

    Go on YouTube for Rachel Maddow’s takedown on the child-like “doctor’s” note issued by the White House and guess who dictated it. We heard those 5 words before.

    • I am black and I know plenty of black people. We all hate him. I co-sign this post.

      No one with “superior genes” looks like they have scales on their face when photographed up close. Yuck.

      • ALEX–Those “scales” are the flakes from that Terra Cotta Orange Mineral Mudpack Makeup
        that he wears. The stability of his genius, however, does not extend to diplomacy or statecraft!

    • As a Black woman, I’m happy to burst your bubble; you do not speak for me!

      I don’t hate Trump as a human being; I hate his poor behaviors as a human and I hate him as the horrible politician he is.

  • I’m not about to say the ‘doubling’ is correct, but I also don’t think it’s too far off based on separate observation and conversations. Maybe it would help to quantify which age bracket, region and economic standing may be undercover supporters or flipped. Or as someone else alluded too, going from one supporter to two is technically doubling. (That was good laugh for the day).

  • Lauri Sue Robertson

    Yeah, I can see this happening: blacks who like trump:There was only one dumb sucker and now there are two! See – doubled!

    • LAURI SUE ROBERTSON–Maybe they found Trump’s my “African-American” and
      cloned him for the survey! :-)

      • No, he just voted twice. We all know how minorities like to commit “voter fraud!” :-)

  • It appears that he has to tell the untrue’s to hold a conversation with people. The Black people I know his approval rate is low.

  • Breitbart and “Fox & Friends” were clearly deserving of Trump’s Fake News awards. Of course, most of what Trump says is fake news.

  • Karl Strandberg

    I never thought that I would see the day when I had lost confidence in the president and his administration; but, sadly, it has arrived!

    • You’re a more generous man than me. I lost complete confidence when the orange fraud claimed a largest inaugural audience ever.

      It’s like claiming to be 6’3” when there are plenty of photos of you, where you are clearly shorter than well known men who are known to be shorter. Or claiming to be 239 pounds when there’s clearly more blubber straining those golf pants.

      Or claiming to be a great business man when the Mexican President tells you to buzz off when you insist that he has to help you look good by paying for your wall. Or having a punk dictator outfox you over and over when you have 1200 times the GDP and command the world’s largest military.

  • My problem as an African American female lawyer is to give people the “benefit of the doubt” until they prove unworthy of that benefit. tRump proved unworthy in a less than a NY minute. As the Sexist-in-Chief, I can believe that equally SEXIST Black men favored tRump.

    Similar to white women who whine about sexist oppression while being RACIST WHITE SUPREMACISTS oppressing Blacks, Black men whine about racism while being SEXIST PIGS who oppress women (and children). Both speak with a forked tongue and are hypocrites.

    Any Black person who supports tRump needs a frontal lobotomy, suffers from an inferiority complex, and is analogous to a Jew supporting Hitler during the Holocaust. tRump is a FLAGRANT RACIST NAZI who hates anyone who isn’t white; why should he care about his approval rating with Blacks? He’s such an arrogant narcissist that he demands that everyone LOVE him. Politically correct advocates and fake “Christians” don’t like using the word “HATE”, but it is a mnemonic that describes him and his “kitchen” cabinet:
    Hellish/Hateful
    As*holes
    Treasonous [Russian conspirators]
    Excrement [sh!thole thinking]

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